Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.492498e-02 0.027530 0.030108 0.032848 0.035670 0.038486 0.041505
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.917919e-02 0.023317 0.027538 0.032137 0.036978 0.041900 0.047263
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.541207e-02 0.020530 0.025896 0.031862 0.038247 0.044826 0.052073
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.297794e-02 0.018829 0.025112 0.032215 0.039916 0.047926 0.056819
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.030644e-02 0.016587 0.023519 0.031499 0.040259 0.049458 0.059744
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.459138e-03 0.015097 0.022619 0.031412 0.041166 0.051485 0.063088
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.739734e-03 0.013591 0.021582 0.031073 0.041711 0.053042 0.065849
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.169487e-03 0.012105 0.020466 0.030562 0.041993 0.054251 0.068172
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.436302e-03 0.010188 0.018722 0.029247 0.041310 0.054347 0.069234
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.903991e-03 0.009852 0.018853 0.030064 0.042983 0.056994 0.073030
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.137543e-03 0.009061 0.018369 0.030123 0.043769 0.058633 0.075698
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.184585e-03 0.007761 0.017166 0.029284 0.043494 0.059067 0.077018
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.341532e-04 0.006578 0.016161 0.028794 0.043772 0.060289 0.079408
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.098400e-07 0.005371 0.015065 0.028194 0.043951 0.061444 0.081781
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004461 0.014290 0.027946 0.044508 0.062999 0.084574
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003933 0.014012 0.028286 0.045727 0.065275 0.088138
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002976 0.012968 0.027601 0.045701 0.066114 0.090078
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002386 0.012421 0.027518 0.046361 0.067705 0.092830
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001767 0.011720 0.027195 0.046706 0.068915 0.095135
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001174 0.010926 0.026708 0.046826 0.069845 0.097104
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000478 0.009616 0.025454 0.045980 0.069639 0.097774
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000408 0.009783 0.026232 0.047606 0.072270 0.101620
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000201 0.009449 0.026289 0.048332 0.073848 0.104267